A new paper published in Organization Science studied two urban planning teams using the same AI simulation tool. Both teams were experienced. The difference was in how they worked with AI and then presented the AI's outputs to stakeholders.
One team increasingly presented the outputs as if they were predictions of the future rather than scenarios to explore. The other framed them as exploratory — "this suggests a possibility."
In the first team, the model became so authoritative that stakeholders increasingly relied on it and sometimes bypassed the planners' interpretation. The AI output looked so complete, so structured, and so certain that there seemed to be little left to evaluate. There's an irony in that: the experts who leaned hardest into the AI's authority ended up undermining their own.
The second team preserved their authority. Their stakeholders stayed engaged, stayed critical, and stayed curious.
The researchers called the first dynamic "artificial certainty" — the illusion that complex, inherently unpredictable futures are definitively knowable. When information is presented in a confident, structured tone, people are more likely to accept it as truth. When the same information is framed as a probability or a possibility, they evaluate it more critically.
The danger isn't that AI is wrong. It's that it looks so right that nobody questions it anymore.
So what does that mean for you and your team? It means team members using AI need to build the discipline of questioning AI outputs, no matter how certain those outputs sound. Critical thinking becomes more important, not less.
So what does that mean for you and your team? It means team members using AI need to build the discipline of questioning AI outputs, no matter how certain those outputs sound. Critical thinking becomes more important, not less.
If you'd like to watch my talk from Prague, here's the link.
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See you next Thursday.
Daria
P.S. If you'd like to discuss how AI is influencing your team — the risks, the opportunities, and where it might be taking over your team's thinking — book a call with me.